Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.119534 0.133091 0.146958 0.162163 0.178329 0.194968 0.213351
2024-10-27 0.100135 0.118740 0.138489 0.160885 0.185450 0.211456 0.240948
2024-11-03 0.087662 0.109827 0.134115 0.162432 0.194273 0.228722 0.268563
2024-11-10 0.079333 0.104378 0.132596 0.166275 0.204926 0.247480 0.297462
2024-11-17 0.070267 0.097087 0.128142 0.166046 0.210380 0.259975 0.319038
2024-11-24 0.065180 0.093954 0.128054 0.170452 0.220815 0.277874 0.346567
2024-12-01 0.059191 0.089145 0.125492 0.171527 0.227040 0.290706 0.368145
2024-12-08 0.053206 0.083817 0.121863 0.170934 0.230976 0.300641 0.386201
2024-12-15 0.048611 0.079902 0.119665 0.171807 0.236442 0.312206 0.406042
2024-12-22 0.043772 0.075266 0.116230 0.170860 0.239471 0.320713 0.422169
2024-12-29 0.041172 0.073482 0.116310 0.174204 0.247662 0.335332 0.445511
2025-01-05 0.037779 0.070315 0.114359 0.174775 0.252283 0.345562 0.463577
2025-01-12 0.034239 0.066749 0.111774 0.174509 0.255928 0.354766 0.480675
2025-01-19 0.030608 0.062753 0.108374 0.172986 0.257843 0.361765 0.495071
2025-01-26 0.028286 0.060572 0.107353 0.174515 0.263583 0.373444 0.515156
2025-02-02 0.026901 0.059755 0.108186 0.178490 0.272460 0.389029 0.540059
2025-02-09 0.024414 0.056946 0.105997 0.178227 0.275741 0.397579 0.556312
2025-02-16 0.023456 0.056602 0.107359 0.182823 0.285383 0.414137 0.582490
2025-02-23 0.021665 0.054683 0.106278 0.183942 0.290387 0.424822 0.601408
2025-03-02 0.019592 0.052084 0.104036 0.183319 0.292997 0.432422 0.616469
2025-03-09 0.018046 0.050296 0.102930 0.184230 0.297608 0.442547 0.634681
2025-03-16 0.016210 0.047787 0.100573 0.183240 0.299577 0.449238 0.648566
2025-03-23 0.015448 0.047278 0.101329 0.186734 0.307624 0.463762 0.672335